India players celebrate at the Asian Games 2026

Two Through, Two Spots Left: What Sunday Decides at the Asian Champions Trophy

Friday night settled the top of the table. It didn’t settle the rest of it.

India and Malaysia are both through to the semi-finals, and Sunday’s late game between them is now a straight fight for top spot. Both sit on nine points from three games. India lead on goal difference, plus 19 against Malaysia’s plus 8, after Friday’s results: India beat Japan 4-1, Malaysia beat Bangladesh 6-1. Whoever wins Sunday night in Jalandhar finishes the weekend top. A draw keeps India top on goal difference, with one round still to play on Monday.

Behind them, it’s Japan’s place to lose. Japan have six points from their 3-2 win over South Korea and their 1-0 win over Bangladesh, and Friday’s defeat to India was their first of the tournament. Beat China on Sunday and Japan are through too, no matter what happens elsewhere. Lose, and the door swings open for everyone below them.

That’s where Sunday’s opener gets interesting. South Korea finally got off the mark on Friday, edging China 2-1 for their first points. They play Bangladesh first up on Sunday, and a win takes them to six points and right into the mix. Bangladesh, meanwhile, are still hunting a first point after three heavy defeats, 13-0 to India, 6-1 to Malaysia and 1-0 to Japan. Nobody is mathematically out yet, but Bangladesh need two wins from their last two games and a goal-difference miracle to climb into the top four.

China are in the tightest corner of all. The 2024 runners-up have lost all three games: 5-4 to Malaysia, 5-2 to India and now 2-1 to South Korea. They have to beat Japan on Sunday just to stay alive, and then beat Bangladesh on Monday and hope the arithmetic falls their way. Lose on Sunday and their semi-final hopes are effectively gone, even if the maths technically lingers.

So Sunday, in order: Korea v Bangladesh at 2:00pm PKT, China v Japan at 4:15pm PKT, Malaysia v India at 6:30pm PKT, all at the Olympian Surjit Singh Hockey Stadium in Jalandhar. Monday brings the final round: China v Bangladesh, Japan v Malaysia and India v South Korea. Then the tournament moves to Mohali for the semi-finals on Wednesday 4 November and the medal matches on Thursday 5 November.

The big game is the late one, obviously. Two unbeaten teams, top spot on the line, a home crowd behind India. But the game that shapes the semi-finals might be the middle one. If Japan win it, the last four is nearly set. If China win it, Monday becomes chaos.

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